Consistent Skin’ Cost Calculations
Base Skins
A skin is guaranteed after 25 rolls.
- 10 keys = 5 rolls
- 50 keys = 25 rolls
- Each skin = 50 keys = 2,500 wild cores
- All four = 200 keys = 10,000 wild cores = 100$
Easy math, right? Here’s where things get tricky.
Yone Skin
Straight up lucking it method = 1000 rolls to guarantee a skin as there is a 0.1% chance of drawing yone.
1% chance – 100 rolls, 0.1% – 1000 rolls.
- 5 rolls = 40 keys.
- 1000 rolls = 8000 keys.
- 50 keys = 2,5000 wild cores.
- 8,000 keys = 400,000 wild cores = 4,000 dollars.
Unlike the other fiend queller skins there is no guarantee of the skin after a certain number of draws.
OK but surely you’ll draw the items before you have to spend that much right?
Each item has a 4% chance of being drawn. Drawing one item does not increase the odds of getting the other items (this isn’t a jar of jelly beans, it is a limitless gulf of riot stupidity). It would take generously 100 rolls (113 but math is hard) to guarantee the item (according to https://dropchance.app/). So that means in order to get all the items we would need ~900 rolls.
Long story short 900 rolls = 3,600$. + the 100 from the other fiend queller skins (pyke, camille, varus, swain) or 28 if you just bought their items.
Granted this is if you’re the unluckiest person alive but there is a potential for the most expensive gacha Riot has ever done. This outstrips the 500$ Ahri skin by a HUGE margin.
Unless my math is wrong. Look I majored in Biology not math. If anyone can correct my calculations and revise, I’d still be interested in how much money it would cost.
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